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February 25, 2013 by admin

Five Key Phases of a Turnaround

Turnarounds are not for the fainthearted among us.  Turning around a troubled entity is complex. There are many stakeholders: a nervous board, a thin-skinned management team and worried employees are just the beginning. There are customers who might run for the exits, partners second guessing their alliances. Public companies need to deal with the stock market expectations while private companies have private equity investors on their heels. If things are really bad, then the business needs to deal with lenders, creditors and potentially courts. Nothing about a turnaround is simple. Everything is urgent. The expectations are high, resources are scarce and time is limited.

So, what do turnaround specialists like Salto Partners do? Well, a first good advice is to stop digging further if you are already in a hole. As an independent third party we can lend the business a new set of eyes, trained in managing and advising in troubled situations. The key to a turnaround is to rebuild an enterprise that has a future, to build an enterprise that people want to do business with, to build an enterprise that people like to work for.  Here are the five major stages of the turnaround process:

Phase 1: Situation Analysis

First, it is important to find out how severe the situation is. Is the business viable? Can its products and services compete in the market place? Is there sufficient cash to go through the turnaround? This analysis should result in a preliminary action plan that shows what is wrong, what potential solutions exist, key strategies to turn the entity in a positive direction, and a cash flow forecast to understand cash usage.

Phase 2: Establish The Go Forward Team
All options are on the table. The turnaround can be managed with the existing management team, perhaps augmented by advisers. It is possible and has been done. The biggest problem for the existing leadership that presided over the downturn is to challenge its own assumptions and decisions. For that reason, it is not uncommon in turnarounds that key players are being replaced. The most important characteristic of the go forward team is that it is willing and able to function with minimal friction while executing the new strategy.

Phase  3: The 30-60-90 day plan
Now, it is important to gain control of the situation. Based on the preliminary analysis create a detailed 30-60-90 day plan that outlines how to tackle the problems. Create ownership by distributing responsibility for parts of the plan to key people in your organization. What ever causes the problem, stop it right here. The 30-60-90 day plan lays out key initiatives and actions that happen in the near term. For example the plan might include the following topics
a) Portfolio: Which products and services will be carried forward? Which ones need to be cancelled? Which ones need to be fixed?
b) Sales: What are the must-win deals for the quarter requiring executive level attention?
c) Cash flow: Aggressively collect accounts receivable, and renegotiate payments against accounts payable.  Secure asset-based loans if needed.
d) Restructure debt and equities: Sell unprofitable or non-strategic business units, real estate, and under-utilized assets. Restructure debt to balance the amount of interest payments with to a level the company can afford.
e) Reorgs: Realign organizations, reduce overhead, conduct lay-offs if needed. Do this swiftly. Avoid the death of a thousand cuts.
f) Key processes: Fix’em. If you have problems with product quality, then  fix your Q&A process. If your delivery organization is creating non referenceable clients, then fix the way you manage your custo-mer engagements. If the company doesn’t get any leads, fix your marketing. If promising deals are consistenly lost, then fix your sales process.
e) Top Talent: Identify top talent early. Create opportunities for people to grow even in these trying times.

Whenever possible, have a way to measure the outcome of each element of the 30-60-90 day plan , e.g. closed sales in $, product quality, customer satisfaction, P&L of business unit/company etc. Make the plan known. Get buy-in. You need everybody pulling in the same direction.

Stage 4: Building Momentum
Look for positive signs of recovery. This could be anything:
– Winning a major deal
– Better product quality metrics
– A new partnership
– Reaching break-even in a business unit
Look for any and all indicators that show that the plan is working. Nothing is more important than people believing into the future of the organization. Enter into another 30-60-90 day plan if need be.

Stage 5: Stabilize
At some point, declare the turn-around to be completed. For example, the business has reached profitability. Declare publicly the crisis is over. Capture the lessons learned. Make the findings known. Enter into mid range planning to ensure the future of the business. Shift the focus back to innovation, customers and the market place.

Communication is key to a successful turnaround. Get your management team aligned. Make your employees believe in the future. Most importantly, let the market place know that you are here to stay. Assume that bad news about your business reaches clients, partners and your competition. Be proactive with your communication, so you can control the message.

Filed Under: Blog Posts Tagged With: Andreas Scherer, Hewlett Packard, Salto Partners, Turnaround, Yahoo

February 22, 2013 by admin

Hewlett Packard’s Q1 Results

Today Salto Partners’ Andreas Scherer talked with E-Commerce Times about Hewlett Packard’s first quarter earnings for the new fiscal year 2013. No matter how one looks at the numbers, they ain’t pretty.

HP reported first quarter earnings of $1.6 billion, or 63 cents a share, on revenue of $28.4 billion. This is down 6 percent from a year ago. Some analysts expected worse, so the good news is that is not as bad as some believed it would be.

 If you take a look under the hood you’ll see that all major business units are down year over year and quarter over quarter.

 1. The Printing and Personal Systems delivered $14.13 billion revenue. That is $1.02 billion less revenue compared to the $15.15 billion revenue it did in Q1 of 2012. This division of HP is competing in a tough market segment without any significant market share in hot segments such as tablets and smart phones.

 2. The Enterprise Group delivered $6.984 billion revenue. It dropped more than $475 million compared to last quarter. The EBITDA contribution of this group has declined year over year and quarter over quarter.

 3. Enterprise Services delivered $5.919 billion revenue. It dropped more than $433 million quarter over quarter. What’s even worse. The group only delivered only $76 million EBIDTA. A service organization operating at 1.3 percent EBITDA margin is at this revenue level a significant concern. Another 5-10% drop in revenue and HP is going to lose a lot of money in this business unit.

Now, Meg Whitmen gave a more upbeat outlook for the rest of FY 2013. This could mean that the sales pipeline across the major business units looks stronger than the current numbers indicate. It could mean that there are new products in the pipeline that can make an instant impact. Or it could mean that HP’s strategy is simply hope. The next quarters will be telling which way the Silicon Valley icon is going.

You find the full article here. 

Filed Under: Blog Posts Tagged With: 2013, Andreas Scherer, E-Commerce Times, Earnings Report, Hewlett Packard, Q1, Salto Partners

February 14, 2013 by admin

Yahoo Acquires Alike

Recently Salto Partners’ Andreas Scherer talked to E-Commerce Times about Yahoo’s acquisition of Alike. Here is the full analysis. 

Yahoo is picking up speed and Marissa Mayer is the driving force behind this. She defines Yahoo’s core business in a simple way: It’s about delivering personalized content. Having a sophisticated mobile strategy is a critical part of this vision. Smart phones offer information about time, location as well as preferences of a user. The mobile internet allows news ways to combine relevant content with smart advertising.

Without any doubt, the Alike acquisition will boost Yahoo’s mobile presence. It lets a user know about nearby restaurants, bars or any other type of venue that is like the ones she is already a fan of. Users can share their preferences also on their Facebook and Twitter accounts. The app can serve as a focal point of Yahoo’s future strategy. Along with this acquisition comes the inevitable clean-up of past attempts to compete in the mobile arena. The company has in total more than sixty apps. Marissa has to determine which ones continue to make sense. It will be likely a number between 12 – 15 when it is all set and done. The mobile strategy of Yahoo needed an overhaul. The Alike acquisition could be the turning point that brings a promising new technology and new talent into the company.

In the big picture Yahoo has to get three things right: Content, Distribution and Monetization. Marissa Mayer already overhauled Yahoo’s approach to monetization by entering into a strategic relationship with Google after recognizing that the Bing partnership didn’t grow combined market share. With the Google partnership it has access to the adsense platform – a well-oiled advertising machinery. Overhauling the mobile strategy helps Yahoo to catch up in a mission critical space. It remains to be seen what else Yahoo plans to do to provide premium personalized content.

One thing is for certain. Things are changing over at Yahoo. And they continue to do so until Marissa gets it right.

You can find the E-Commerce Times article on this subject here.

Filed Under: Blog Posts Tagged With: Alike, Andreas Scherer, E-Commerce Times, mobile, Salto Partners, Yahoo

December 8, 2012 by admin

T-Mobile and Apple

T-Mobile mentioned almost en passant that it will finally start offering Apple iPhone in 2013. Now, that is newsworthy. The carrier has tried for years to give its customers access to Apple’s smartphone. What does it mean for T-Mobile and its customers?

First of all, this is one more arrow in the quiver of T-Mobile against the ATT’s for the world. Customers can move from ATT to T-Mobile without having to purchase outright the still very expensive device.

Second, the deal involves an new, unannounced iPhone model. If we dare to speculate then this will be in all likelihood an LTE ready iPhone 5. This move would fit nicely with the company’s overall strategy. As T-Mobile prepares for its merger with MetroPCS the company is upgrading its LTE infrastructure heavily. The idea is that both companies will upgrade their existing client basis aggressively to the new network. The iPhone 5 fits perfectly in this picture.

All in all this is good news for consumers. More choices, more competition and the hope for more speed in 2013.

You can read more in this E-Commerce Times Article.

I also commented on this deal in a Forbes interview.

Filed Under: Blog Posts Tagged With: Andreas Scherer, Apple, Deutsche Telekom, E-Commerce Times, Forbes, LTE, Salto Partners, Selling It, T-Mobile

November 15, 2012 by admin

800 Million Facebook Shares Came Online

I gave an interview to E-Commerce Times on Facebook. Here is the back story.

Yesterday, 800 million Facebook shares came online. Shares opened at $20.08, and by afternoon were up by more than 11 percent, to $22.17. The increase was unexpected because a stock’s price generally falls when a glut of shares becomes available. For Facebook, the increase was particularly fortuitous, because the stock is worth just over half of its initial public offering price in May. So what happened.

Market dynamics can be complex. So, there is a lot going on behind the scene. To start with, Facebook had a better than expected Q3. It was able to beat revenue expectation. What is even more important, the company was able to jumpstart its mobile business. So, employees and investors have reasons to believe that the company is able take its business to the next level. This is probably the main reason, why we didn’t see people running to exits today.

Secondly, the fact that today 800 million shares were coming online was well known. For those market participants who speculated on a lower stock price it was time to cover any short sales. So, in that regard, todays increase could have been easily just a technical reaction to a market that was simply oversold.

The bottom line for Facebook hasn’t changed. It has to show that it is able to grow its topline. Investors will particularly take a closer look at its mobile revenue numbers.

You can read more here.

Filed Under: Blog Posts Tagged With: Andreas Scherer, E-Commerce Times, Facebook, Salto Partners

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